Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
887 FNUS55 KPSR 022008 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 108 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024 .DISCUSSION... Drier conditions will continue to filter into the region over the next few days. Isolated afternoon showers and a few thunderstorms are expected this afternoon over the Arizona higher terrain with chances on Wednesday even lower. As conditions continue to dry out, hotter temperatures are expected, especially later this week. Humidities will drop considerably starting today over the majority of the area. MinRH values across the lower deserts will fall to around 15% while across the higher terrain areas east of Phoenix, values will range between 25-35% this afternoon and fall to between 15-25% starting on Wednesday. Winds will follow diurnal trends, occasionally gusting to 20 mph during the afternoon hours. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-030815- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 108 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Northwest 10 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................108-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 12 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-116. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 109-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 108-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 109-115. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 109-115. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-030815- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 108 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024 /108 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 13 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................52-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................20 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................111-116. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................12-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming north 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 114-119. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 112-117. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 111-116. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 113-118. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 113-118. $$ AZZ133-030815- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 108 PM MST Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................68-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................40-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................91-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-108. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................12-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 96-110. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 93-107. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-83. Highs 95-108. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-84. Highs 95-109. $$ CAZ232-030815- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 108 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................81-86. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................19-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 82-89. Highs 111-120. East winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 109-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 81-88. Highs 108-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 81-88. Highs 109-119. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 109-119. $$ CAZ230-030815- Joshua Tree National Park- 108 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................73-83. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................17-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................74-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southeast in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 101-115. North winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-114. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 76-85. Highs 99-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-115. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 99-114. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday July 10th through Friday July 12th: Above normal temperatures and below median precipitation.