Offshore Forecast
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520
FZNT25 KNHC 150924
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
524 AM EDT Thu Aug 15 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...A weak surface ridge will maintain gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across most of the
basin into early next week. High pressure will build modestly
across the NE Gulf Fri through Sat to produce moderate easterly
winds and a mild increase in seas. Otherwise, moderate to
locally fresh winds, and scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected along the Yucatan Peninsula each evening through the
period.

.TODAY...N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NE to E 15 to
20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.FRI...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, building to 3 ft
in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to E after
midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.SAT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE after
midnight. Seas 2 ft or less.
.SUN...S winds 5 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
or less.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to S to SW after
midnight. Seas 2 ft or less.
.MON...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...A weakening ridge from the central Atlantic W-SW to
near the northern Bahamas will shift E and give way to Ernesto
today. Hurricane Ernesto is near 23.9N 69.1W at 5 AM AST, moving
 north at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 75 kt with gusts to
90 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 979 mb. Ernesto is
forecast to continue to strengthen as it moves on a northerly
track, reaching near 25.4N 69.1W this afternoon, near 29.3N
66.7W Fri afternoon, then pass very near Bermuda Sat morning. A
weak  frontal boundary extends from near Bermuda to
north-central  Florida and will drift southward across the
northwestern part of  the area, and stall to the NW of Ernesto
by Fri, producing  moderate to fresh NE winds behind it. Large
swell from Ernesto  will spread W of 75W today through Fri night
before subsiding Sat  through Sun.

.TODAY...S of 27N, SE to S winds 5 kt, shifting to NW in the
afternoon. N of 27N, N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt
N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE 10 to 15 kt N of
27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE after midnight.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S of 27N, E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to S
after midnight. N of 27N, S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SW 15 to 20 kt N of
27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft.