917
FNUS72 KMLB 011708
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for JDSP C5 mulched area...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
108 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 EDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...South-Southeast wind flow will continue this afternoon.
Scattered showers and storms should lift north from Palm Beach county
late this afternoon and early evening. The bulk of this activity should
remain just west of the burn site but outflow from these storms may
produce a west wind shift at the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....32.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  31  30  39
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50
LAL.............3   3   3   3
Temp............88  88  87  88
RH..............66  66  68  70
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  15  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12
Dispersion idx..31  29  33  34
LVORI...........3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    2300, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....30 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........40     30     30     25     15     16
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     30     20     10     10     10
LAL.............3      3      2      1      1      1
Temp............87     85     81     80     79     78
RH..............72     77     85     88     91     91
20 ft wind......SE 8   S 6    S 5    S 3    S 2    S 2
20 ft wind gust.13     13     12     10     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....2300   1400   700    700    500    500
Transport wind..S 12   S 12   S 8    S 8    S 8    S 7
Dispersion idx..33     7      5      4      4      4
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming
                    mostly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0700, then 1-8 strikes until
                    0800, then 9-15 strikes until 1400, then 16-25
                    strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 9 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 3200 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........15        34        36        70
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10        40        40        60
LAL.............1         3         3         4
Temp............78        83        88        88
RH..............94        85        72        72
20 FT wind......S 2G8     S 2G8     SE 7G12   SE 9G14
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1700      3200      2900
Transport wind..S 7       S 8       SE 12     SE 12
Dispersion idx..4         18        39        37
LVORI...........7         4         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Rob Rossmanith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417071.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robin.rossmanith@floridadep.gov