049
FXUS62 KMLB 051754
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
154 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

Mainly VFR conditions through the TAF period. Light E-SE flow
gives way to the sea breezes. ECSB has already pushed inland and
reached KMCO with little SH and no TS activity, so continuing just
VCSH at inland terminals except KLEE, where the ECSB-WCSB
collision will occur near or just west of, and pulled VC mention
from coastal terminals. VFR conditions prevail overnight. Sea
breeze collision Saturday looks to shift back east towards the
inland ECFL terminals, increasing potential for TS impacts after
19Z, but should be mostly dry for coastal terminals again.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 927 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

Hot conditions today, with a Heat Advisory set to go into effect
from Noon to 6pm today across much of the interior. In the
Advisory area, heat indices are forecast up to 110 degrees.
Elsewhere, peak heat indices 105-107 degrees. Use caution if
spending time outdoors today. Be sure to stay hydrated and take
frequent breaks, preferably in an air conditioned space. High
temperatures are forecast in the lower to mid-90s.

Some relief may come in the mid to late afternoon, with scattered
showers and storms developing along the sea breeze collision. A
slightly dominate east coast sea breeze will lead to a collision
on the west-central area of the peninsula, however PoPs forecast
around 30-50% over interior portions of the forecast area. Made a
slight adjustment during the update this morning to decrease PoPs
to 20% or less along the coast east of I-95. The main threats with
any storms today will be gusty winds up to 45 mph, frequent lightning
strikes, and locally heavy rain that could lead to minor, nuisance
flooding. Activity should persist through around sunset before
diminishing.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 302 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

Generally favorable boating conditions continue thru the holiday
weekend and into early next week. Seas mainly 2-3 ft. The pressure
gradient will remain fairly weak supporting a daily sea breeze
regime. Outside of this, winds likely to be light/variable and
generally AOB 10 kts. ISOLD-SCT showers and lightning storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  93  77  93 /  10  20  10  30
MCO  76  96  77  95 /  10  40  10  50
MLB  76  92  77  92 /   0  20  10  30
VRB  75  92  76  93 /   0  20   0  30
LEE  78  95  78  94 /  30  50  10  60
SFB  76  96  77  95 /  10  30  10  50
ORL  77  96  78  95 /  10  40  10  50
FPR  74  92  76  93 /   0  20  10  40

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for FLZ044>046-053-058-
     144-254-259-264.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Leahy
AVIATION...Haley