Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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011 FXUS62 KMLB 040612 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 212 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 0212 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 VFR conditions are forecast outside of storms with a typical sea breeze driven weather pattern in place. Scat`d showers/storms are forecast to develop into the afternoon with VCSH/VCTS beginning between 16-19Z and TEMPO TSRA for inland sites from 20-23Z. Shower/storm chances diminish after sunset. Light and variable winds will increase from the E at 5-10kts into the afternoon. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1051 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Activity is winding down this evening, with a few showers and storms in southern Lake county as of 10 PM. This activity is pushing west to southwest around 10 mph. Any lingering activity should dissipate or move out of the local area over the next hour or two. Otherwise, mostly dry conditions overnight across land areas, with isolated to scattered showers and storms possible across the Atlantic waters, especially across the Gulf Stream. Winds will continue to be light tonight, and generally from the south to southeast. Warm and muggy tonight, with overnight temperatures in the mid to upper 70s, to low 80s possible across the coast. Forecast remains on track. && .MARINE... Issued at 235 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 A high pressure axis will hold north of Florida through Friday, leading to light daytime SE breezes up to 10 KT (locally enhanced at the coast during the afternoon). Winds become light SW late in the overnight hours. The high pressure axis will settle southward through the local Atlantic this weekend, with light (5-12 KT) S/SE winds by day turning offshore at night. Seas 2-3 FT through the period, with a light to moderate chop over the Intracoastal. A few showers or isolated storms are forecast during the overnight and early morning hours offshore, shifting closer to the coast in the late morning and early afternoon hours. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 92 76 92 75 / 50 10 30 10 MCO 94 77 94 76 / 70 20 50 10 MLB 92 77 91 76 / 40 10 40 10 VRB 92 76 91 75 / 20 10 40 10 LEE 94 78 94 77 / 70 30 60 10 SFB 93 77 93 76 / 60 10 50 10 ORL 94 78 93 77 / 70 20 50 10 FPR 92 76 91 76 / 20 20 50 10 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 6 PM EDT this evening for FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259- 264-347-447-547-647-747. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Watson AVIATION...Fehling