Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 040612
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
212 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 0212 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

VFR conditions are forecast outside of storms with a typical sea
breeze driven weather pattern in place. Scat`d showers/storms are
forecast to develop into the afternoon with VCSH/VCTS beginning
between 16-19Z and TEMPO TSRA for inland sites from 20-23Z.
Shower/storm chances diminish after sunset. Light and variable
winds will increase from the E at 5-10kts into the afternoon.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1051 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

Activity is winding down this evening, with a few showers and
storms in southern Lake county as of 10 PM. This activity is
pushing west to southwest around 10 mph. Any lingering activity
should dissipate or move out of the local area over the next hour
or two. Otherwise, mostly dry conditions overnight across land
areas, with isolated to scattered showers and storms possible
across the Atlantic waters, especially across the Gulf Stream.
Winds will continue to be light tonight, and generally from the
south to southeast. Warm and muggy tonight, with overnight
temperatures in the mid to upper 70s, to low 80s possible across
the coast. Forecast remains on track.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 235 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

A high pressure axis will hold north of Florida through Friday,
leading to light daytime SE breezes up to 10 KT (locally enhanced
at the coast during the afternoon). Winds become light SW late in
the overnight hours. The high pressure axis will settle southward
through the local Atlantic this weekend, with light (5-12 KT) S/SE
winds by day turning offshore at night. Seas 2-3 FT through the
period, with a light to moderate chop over the Intracoastal. A few
showers or isolated storms are forecast during the overnight and
early morning hours offshore, shifting closer to the coast in the
late morning and early afternoon hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  92  76  92  75 /  50  10  30  10
MCO  94  77  94  76 /  70  20  50  10
MLB  92  77  91  76 /  40  10  40  10
VRB  92  76  91  75 /  20  10  40  10
LEE  94  78  94  77 /  70  30  60  10
SFB  93  77  93  76 /  60  10  50  10
ORL  94  78  93  77 /  70  20  50  10
FPR  92  76  91  76 /  20  20  50  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 6 PM EDT this evening
     for FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-
     264-347-447-547-647-747.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Watson
AVIATION...Fehling