Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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979
ACUS11 KWNS 030408
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030407
ILZ000-MOZ000-030530-

Mesoscale Discussion 1518
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1107 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024

Areas affected...Northern MO...Western IL

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498...

Valid 030407Z - 030530Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498
continues.

SUMMARY...Locally damaging winds will accompany convection as it
propagates across northeast MO into western IL.

DISCUSSION...Weak MCV has evolved within remnant convection that
tracked across eastern KS into northwest MO, just east of Kansas
City over Ray County. This feature may be partly responsible for
organized squall line that currently extends from near Sedalia to
Randolph County. Larger MCS appears to be evolving along the nose of
LLJ which is forecast to translate downstream into central IL later
tonight. This activity is currently propagating through the main
instability axis which should continue to support robust updrafts,
at least into extreme western IL before weaker buoyancy is
encountered. Locally damaging winds are the primary concern with
this cluster of storms.

..Darrow.. 07/03/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON   40009254 39819037 39179067 38599223 38549363 40009254