Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
392
ACUS11 KWNS 032232
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032231
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-040000-
Mesoscale Discussion 1526
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0531 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024
Areas affected...portions of northeastern Oklahoma into southwestern
Missouri
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 032231Z - 040000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorms may develop through the remainder of
the afternoon. A couple instances of severe wind and hail are
possible. However, any severe threat that materializes should remain
isolated, so a WW issuance is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite and MRMS mosaic radar imagery shows a
line of cumulus congestus and associated isolated thunderstorm
development, located along a baroclinic boundary extending from
southwestern MO into northeast OK. These storms are developing amid
2000 J/kg MLCAPE and 35+ kts of effective bulk shear. Straight
hodographs with modest length are noted via regional VAD profilers,
suggesting that multicells and perhaps transient supercells will be
the primary modes of convection for any storms that can become
established. Severe wind and hail are the main concerns. However,
the severe threat should remain isolated, and a WW issuance is not
currently anticipated.
..Squitieri/Hart.. 07/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 36279252 35979391 35619548 35559637 35479731 35569795
36039812 36099805 36579585 36989397 36849312 36689249
36279252