649
FXUS64 KLZK 031932
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
232 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024

The ridge of high pressure across the area is being flattened by a
trof moving thru the midsection of the country. The ridge will hold
thru tomorrow, but will eventually give way to lower heights on
Friday, when a mean trof takes hold of the area.

Very hot and humid conditions will continue again tomorrow. Forecast
afternoon maximum heat indicies were trending a bit higher in a few
areas, so I expanded it to include the rest of the AR River Valley
tomorrow, and in the NE I added Fulton and Izard Counties to the mix.

Everything will change on Friday as the trof takes hold, and a cold
front will begin moving into the state. Showers and thunderstorms
will become more numerous Thursday night into Friday, and will drop
high temperatures down into the 80`s behind the front.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024

Changes in the pattern will be seen across the state and region
through the long term portion of the forecast. For most, these
changes will be well received.

H500 ridging will persist across the western US with troughing noted
across the central and eastern parts of the country. This setup will
be favorable for some relief from the heat as well as occasional
rainfall chances as disturbances pass through the W/NW flow.

Dry conditions will be seen for much of the state on Saturday as sfc
ridging briefly holds over the area. From Sun-Mon a cold front will
approach from the NW and rain chances will increase as it moves into
the state. Temperatures will be cooler as the front lingers near the
state and some rain chances will remain in the forecast through
Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     76  96  72  90 /  20  40  50  30
Camden AR         78  97  75  95 /  10  20  20  50
Harrison AR       74  94  69  86 /  40  40  50  10
Hot Springs AR    78  98  75  93 /  10  30  40  40
Little Rock   AR  81  98  77  94 /  20  30  40  40
Monticello AR     79  97  78  94 /   0  30  20  70
Mount Ida AR      76  97  72  90 /  10  20  40  40
Mountain Home AR  74  94  70  86 /  30  50  60  10
Newport AR        76  96  75  89 /  20  40  50  30
Pine Bluff AR     79  97  77  93 /  10  30  30  50
Russellville AR   78  98  75  91 /  10  30  50  30
Searcy AR         76  97  74  91 /  20  40  40  40
Stuttgart AR      79  96  78  91 /  10  30  30  50

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Excessive Heat Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-053>057-062>069-
113-121>123-130-137-138-212-213-230-238-313.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 9 PM CDT Thursday for ARZ004-005-014-
024-052-103-112-113-123-137-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-237-240-
241-313-340-341.

Excessive Heat Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM CDT Thursday for
ARZ006>008-015>017-025-031>034-039-042>047-053>057-062>069-121-
122-130-138-230-238.

Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ052-103-112-140-
141-203-221>223-237-240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....67