Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
490
FNUS52 KILM 020708
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Drier and cooler weather is expected today and Wednesday under
high pressure. Heat and humidity will return late this week and
into the weekend, where heat indices look to push above 105
degrees.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-022315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
308 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 86 64 89
Min/Max RH (%) 50 95 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 E 4 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0800 2100 76/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5300
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71500 63600
ADI Early 70 Good 67 Good 61 Good
ADI Late 73 Good 6 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-022315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 87 65 90
Min/Max RH (%) 39 95 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 6200
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64000 55800
ADI Early 76 Good 72 Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 76 Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-022315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
308 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 10
Precip Type None None Showers
LAL 1 2 2
Max/Min Temp 86 67 89
Min/Max RH (%) 53 93 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G17 E 5 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 G17 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0800 2100 77/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5300
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79800 68900
ADI Early 64 Good 72 Good 69 Good
ADI Late 70 Good 6 Very Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-022315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
308 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 86 66 90
Min/Max RH (%) 40 94 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0800 2100 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 6400
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64000 57600
ADI Early 67 Good 77 Good 62 Good
ADI Late 76 Good 6 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman