Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
544
FNUS52 KILM 030650
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
250 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Drier and cooler weather will continue today under high pressure.
Heat and humidity will return late this week and into the
weekend, where heat indices look to push above 105 degrees.
Scattered afternoon showers and storms return this weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-032300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
250 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 66 92
Min/Max RH (%) 50 94 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2100 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5700
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 51300
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-032300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
250 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 91 68 94
Min/Max RH (%) 38 95 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2100 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 6300
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 63000
ADI Early 63 Good 58 Gen Good 36 Fair
ADI Late 71 Good 5 Very Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
thunderstorms 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-032300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
250 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 90 69 93
Min/Max RH (%) 49 98 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2100 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 52200
ADI Early 61 Good 58 Gen Good 33 Fair
ADI Late 67 Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-032300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
250 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 91 69 95
Min/Max RH (%) 40 99 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2100 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 6800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64800 61200
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 66 Good 35 Fair
ADI Late 72 Good 5 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman