Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
296
FNUS52 KILM 021918
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
318 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Drier and cooler weather will continue tomorrow under high
pressure. Heat and humidity will return late this week and into
the weekend, where heat indices look to push above 105 degrees.
Scattered afternoon showers and storms return this weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-031130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
318 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 89 66 93
Max/Min RH (%) 99 48 99 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0900 2100 78/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6000
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59000 60000
ADI Early 61 Good 59 Gen Good 55 Gen Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 63 Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-031130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
318 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 91 68 94
Max/Min RH (%) 99 39 99 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0900 2100 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 6200
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48300 74400
ADI Early 66 Good 55 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 61 Good 5 Very Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 8 4 9
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-031130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
318 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 67 89 69 93
Max/Min RH (%) 98 49 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 76/0900 2100 79/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 6400
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 57600
ADI Early 61 Good 56 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 39 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-031130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
318 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 91 69 95
Max/Min RH (%) 99 40 100 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 76/0900 2100 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 6900
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 82800
ADI Early 64 Good 52 Gen Good 58 Gen Good 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 7 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21