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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
233 FNUS53 KGRR 050701 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 ...Showers and Storms Today... .DISCUSSION...Showers and storms are expected today, especially north of I96. The first round will impact mainly the Manistee National Forest area counties this morning, and the second will affect all of West Michigan this afternoon. The heaviest rainfall (0.5"-1") is expected near US10 with less further south. A moist airmass keeps minimum RH values above 50 percent the next few days, and winds remain below 20 mph so elevated fire weather conditions are not expected. MIZ037>039-043>045-052030- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM. Showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........78-83 percent near Lake Michigan and 64-69 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 20 percent wetter Inland. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3600-4100 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....460-550 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.66 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 6 AM. Patchy fog after 1 AM. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........99 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....90-190 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.25 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of fog until 9 AM. Max temperature.....70-75. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3200-3700 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....320-400 (good). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in. $$ MIZ040-046-052030- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM. Chance of thunderstorms until 2 PM. Showers. Thunderstorms likely after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....460-530 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.62 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 12 AM. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........99 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....90-130 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.27 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Areas of fog until 9 AM. Max temperature.....Around 76. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........64-69 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....340-430 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.14 in. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-052030- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....77-82. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west around 8 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4300-4800 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....650-810 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog after 2 AM until 7 AM. Min temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2400-2900 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....140-330 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM. Max temperature.....70-75. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3100-3600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....470-540 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-052030- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM. Chance of showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........56-61 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest around 8 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....650-780 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.43 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2 AM. Patchy fog after 1 AM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....130-310 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM. Max temperature.....Around 75. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-67 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....390-520 (good). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-052030- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11 AM. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 82. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........56-61 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....580-780 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.20 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after 4 AM until 6 AM. Min temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....140-280 (fair). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-67 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....570-700 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 8 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. $$