Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
400
FNUS53 KGRR 051927
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
327 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...Showers and Thunderstorms This Evening...
.DISCUSSION...
A weak low pressure system moving through the Lower Peninsula will
kick off showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The
precipitation is expected overnight Friday night. Low clouds will
develop and be in place to start the day on Saturday. Another round
of showers and isolated thunderstorms is expected on Saturday with
the best chances occurring over Central Lower Michigan east of
Baldwin and north of Lansing and Grand Rapids.
MIZ037>039-043>045-060815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
327 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 1
AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
1800-2300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-240 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
10 AM. Chance of showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-75 percent near Lake Michigan and 62-67
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 5
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....290-420 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1800-2300
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent near Lake Michigan and 52-57
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 6
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5100-5600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-060815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
327 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....80-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.40 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-460 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.14 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-060815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
327 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog after
2 AM until 7 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
1800-2300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3300-3800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
1600-2100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5300-5800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....370-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-060815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
327 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 AM. Patchy
fog after 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-340 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2
PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....330-560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-060815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
327 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM. Patchy
fog after 4 AM until 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-720 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-340 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 84.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
8 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance
of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
$$