365
FNUS75 KGJT 161454
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Landfill fire...Gunnison Fire Dept
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
854 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 MDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Similar conditions as the past few days with light
winds in the morning becoming West to Northwest as heating picks
up through the late morning hours. Daily afternoon and evening
thunderstorm threat continues through the week with gusty outflow
winds the main concern as gust over 45 mph will be possible with
more organized storms. Some storms will also have moderate
rainfall rates but confidence not high they will directly impact
the fire area so CWR remains low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-50 percent) through 1300 then
                    Partly sunny (60-70 percent) with scattered
                    thunderstorms and showers developing.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....Near 83.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds around 5 mph
                    becoming West 7 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    by 1300. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to excellent by peak heating.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 10600 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 18 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (6000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................4 until 1900, then 3 until 0100, then 2 until
                    0200, then 1.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East 12 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds around 5 mph
                    becoming West 7 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    by 1300. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to very good by peak heating.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 4
Mixing height.......Increasing to 10600 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Fire Chief
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418150.7/GJT
.DELDT 07/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bbowen@gunnisonco.gov