Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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349 FXUS64 KFWD 300558 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1258 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Monday/ Mid-level high pressure remains in control across the region leading to yet another day of above normal temperatures. A Heat Advisory will remain in effect given much of the region is expected to experience heat index values of at least 105 degrees for a few hours this afternoon. There will be a weak front that will inch southward early this morning across Oklahoma. Although this front is not expected to reach North Texas, a few remnant outflow boundaries may move southward, firing off a few showers or storms this afternoon. Those along the immediate Red River will have the best rain chances, generally around 20%. Tonight, expect warm temperatures once again, with the DFW Metroplex remaining in the 80s while the rest of the area dips into the mid to upper 70s. The heat intensifies slightly as we start a new work week with widespread triple digit temperatures across the region. In addition, a few locations may reach heat index values of around 110 degrees. At this time, the 110 degrees heat index looks to be more isolated in nature. If future guidance shows more widespread heat index values of 110+, the excessive heat warnings may make a comeback. Given the heat and plenty of moisture in place, a few pop-up storms will be possible across East Texas. Coverage should remain minimal with most locations expected to remain dry. Hernandez && .LONG TERM... /Issued 303 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ Update: No significant changes were needed with this afternoon`s update. Hot temperatures will continue through the next week, with slightly less intense heat indices than the recent few days. Low storm chances (20%) are advertised for East TX Monday afternoon, with the greatest coverage remaining outside of the forecast area. A weak front nearing the region and additional low rain chances may bring a brief reprieve from the heat to the area on Days 7-8. Gordon Previous Discussion: /Sunday Night Through Next Week/ Widespread triple digit temperatures will continue throughout the week, with the hottest temperatures expected on Tuesday. Heat index values will be between 103-110 degrees each day, but >110 degrees should be less common than we experienced this week. Heat headlines will continue throughout the week for most (if not all) areas. There are some early indications that the ridge responsible for our hot and quiet weather will weaken and shift further west late next week. As a result, rain chances will return late in the week and potentially continue into next weekend. While most of the rain would occur Friday onward, it`s worth monitoring the forecast if you have any outdoor plans for the July 4th holiday, as timing is certainly subject to change over the next several days. Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06Z TAFs/ South winds and VFR skies are in place at this time. High clouds are working their way south across Oklahoma, however, no impacts are expected to any of our TAF sites. As we approach sunrise, a surge of MVFR stratus will move northward into Central Texas, likely impacting KACT for a few hours. Any low clouds should gradually disperse by late in the morning leaving behind VFR for the rest of the forecast period. Hernandez && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 82 100 82 102 83 / 5 5 0 0 0 Waco 78 99 79 101 80 / 0 5 0 0 0 Paris 76 94 76 98 79 / 10 10 0 0 0 Denton 79 101 79 103 80 / 5 5 0 0 0 McKinney 79 99 79 101 80 / 5 5 0 0 0 Dallas 82 101 81 102 83 / 5 5 0 0 0 Terrell 78 98 78 100 80 / 5 10 0 0 0 Corsicana 79 100 80 102 80 / 5 10 0 0 0 Temple 77 99 77 102 78 / 5 5 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 77 101 78 103 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107- 115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175. && $$