Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
374
FNUS54 KEPZ 021113
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
513 AM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday will keep
fire danger low. New lightning starts expected to remain small
under light northwest flow and high soil moisture over forested
areas. Min RH 25-40% with temperatures near normal. Drier weather
beginning on Thursday and into next week. Backdoor cold front
forecasted for Friday, shifting winds to the east. Less storm
coverage next weekend. Smoke ventilation Fair to Good next few
days, becoming Very Good late this week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-021845-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
513 AM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6400-8200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-60.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-021845-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
513 AM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-021845-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
513 AM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........28-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 96 to 101. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 92 to 97. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 71. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-021845-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
513 AM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....77-82 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5900-7400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 87 to 92. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 77 to 82. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-021845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
513 AM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........22-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....76-80.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* Min humidity........25-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 98 to 102.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ056-021845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
513 AM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 89 to 94. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 88 to 93. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
Dennhardt