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202
ABPZ20 KNHC 041144
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 4 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles offshore
of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a small
area of showers and thunderstorms. Although this activity has become
better organized since yesterday, it remains unclear whether the
system possesses a well-defined center. Environmental conditions
could still support the formation of a short-lived tropical
depression later today or tonight while the system moves
northwestward offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. By
Friday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and
further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart