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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
923 FNUS53 KDTX 031953 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .DISCUSSION...Scattered showers exit eastward with a weak cold front toward evening. The front ushers in a typical summer air mass for the July 4th holiday with highs in the mid to upper 80s and moderate humidity. Showers and thunderstorms spread back across Lower MI Friday as the next low pressure system sets up in the Midwest. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032130- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....62-67. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........89-99 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20). Pcpn amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Max temperature.....82-86. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-49 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6460-6960 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (685). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....62-67. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........88-98 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-800 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Max temperature.....78-82. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-72 percent. 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2710-3210 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (554). Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-032130- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........89-99 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14). Pcpn amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Max temperature.....80-86. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........44-54 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5350-5850 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (522). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......520-720 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5). Pcpn amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Numerous showers until 2 pm. Showers and chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Max temperature.....78-82. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........65-75 percent. 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south early in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3420-3920 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (663). Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032130- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 353 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....62-68. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........88-98 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12). Pcpn amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....83-88. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........40-50 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6270-6770 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (591). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....63-68. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........88-98 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming southeast around 5 mph after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......560-760 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Numerous showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....80-86. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........58-68 percent. 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3570-4070 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (663). Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. $$ BT