![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
233 FXUS64 KCRP 162045 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 345 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Key Messages: - High chance for another Heat Advisory tomorrow across the Coastal Plains, Victoria Crossroads and the Brush Country Not to continue beating a dead horse, but hot conditions will continue through Saturday as upper level ridging holds firm. Above normal temperatures combined with ample moisture will lead to a high chance for another Heat Advisory tomorrow across the Coastal Plains, Victoria Crossroads and the Brush Country. With overnight recoveries remaining poor, a moderate to major risk of heat-related illnesses will continue through tomorrow night. There is a very low chance (less than 15%) of showers along the afternoon seabreeze tomorrow, but confidence remains too low to include any mention of this in the forecast grids. Please continue to practice heat safety. Stay hydrated, take frequent breaks from the sun, avoid strenuous outdoor activities, wear loose and lightweight clothing, recognize the signs of heat stroke and heat exhaustion, and ALWAYS check your vehicle before locking it. Remember your pets too by bringing them inside and providing plenty of water and shelter. Additionally, check local media and government websites for cooling center locations and hours. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Key Message: - Moderate to Extreme risk of heat related impacts continue next week Persistence is the name of the game for the long-term period as the region will be dominated by a blocking pattern. An upper-level ridge just Lee of the Rockies will keep high pressure anchored to the Southern Plains close to NM/TX border for the first part of the week. Then the pattern may begin to change as the models hint at the block breaking down allowing for an eastward progression to begin towards the end of the period. However, the models have a wide disparity and not much confidence in this change, yet. The week is expected to be hot and dry with no chance for rainfall except towards the end of the week with a low 15-20% chance across the Victoria Crossroads as a weak low-level disturbance approaches from the Gulf concurrent with a plume of moisture, but this will likely ride around the periphery of the high, so not expecting much if any precipitation at this point. Otherwise, the heat and humidity continues to bring a moderate to extreme risk of heat related impacts with heat indices climbing into the 110-114 degree range over a broader area that will encompass much of South Texas by mid- week. Please remember to stay well hydrated, wear light colored, loose fitting clothes and stay in air-conditioning as much as possible. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 VFR conditions are expected to remain in place throughout this TAF cycle except for a low chance of reduced visibilities late tonight into tomorrow morning into MVFR categories at ALI and VCT. Winds will be a bit gusty this afternoon and decrease across the eastern sites around 02/03z and the western sites around 08/09z. && .MARINE... Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected through next week with a very low (less than 10%) chances of rain tomorrow across the offshore Gulf waters. Very low rain chances will start to increase to around 15-30% by the end of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 96 80 96 79 / 0 0 10 0 Victoria 97 77 98 77 / 10 0 10 0 Laredo 103 78 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 101 77 101 77 / 0 0 10 0 Rockport 94 82 95 81 / 0 0 10 0 Cotulla 105 79 105 79 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 99 78 98 79 / 0 0 10 0 Navy Corpus 92 83 92 83 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ242>247-342>344- 346-347. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...JCP/84 LONG TERM....BF/80 AVIATION...JCP