348
WTNT22 KNHC 050843
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0900 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  86.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  86.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  86.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.7N  88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.7N  91.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.9N  93.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.8N  94.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.7N  96.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N  97.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.0N  98.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 30.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  86.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN