889
FNUS53 KAPX 020853
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
453 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...Rain chances through today and especially tonight...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will cross northern Michigan Wednesday
morning. Clouds will increase today, and scattered showers will
develop. The best chance for rain today will be in northwest lower
Michigan. Numerous to widespread showers occur tonight, along with
a few thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain is possible. Rain chances
will gradually diminish Wednesday, and no precipitation is expected
for Thursday the Fourth.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-022200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
453 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1200, then
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (523).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400, then numerous showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (73).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.49 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (763).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.19 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-022200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
453 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated rain showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (576).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 2400, then scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.38 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (950).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.18 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-022200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
453 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Isolated rain showers
                    until 1200, then scattered rain showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (439).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400, then showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (73).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.51 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (737).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-022200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
453 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Isolated rain showers
                    until 1200, then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (459).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then numerous showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (81).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.43 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (830).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-022200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
453 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (678).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (69).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.28 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1036).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

JZ