485
FZAK80 PAFC 012206
ICEAFC

Sea Ice Forecast for Western and Arctic Alaskan Coastal Waters
National Weather Service - Alaska Sea Ice Program
206 PM AKDT Monday 1 July 2024

FORECAST VALID...Saturday 6 July 2024

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...High.

SYNOPSIS...A low moves into the Chukchi Sea on Tuesday, then into
the Beaufort Sea on Wednesday. A stronger low moves into the Chukchi
Sea on Saturday.

The main ice edge extends from near Shishmaref to 68 34N 168 2W to
68 25N 170 17W to 66 6N 169 28W and continues southward along
the Russian coast. There is also an area of brash sea ice remaining
to the northeast of Saint Lawrence Island.


From land-based points in Alaska, the main ice edge extends from
Shishmaref to 30 nm west of Point Hope to 75 nm west of Point Hope
to 25 nm northwest of Diomede and continues southward along the
Russian coast. The ice edge is open water. There is also an area of
brash sea ice remaining to the northeast of Saint Lawrence Island.



-BEAUFORT SEA-

PKZ505-Central US Arctic Offshore-
PKZ510-Eastern US Arctic Offshore-
PKZ813-Point Franklin to Cape Halkett out to 15 nm-
PKZ814-Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island out to 15 nm-
PKZ815-Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point out to 15 nm-
PKZ860-Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island from 15 nm to 80 nm-
PKZ861-Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point from 15 nm to 75 nm-

Ice covered.

FORECAST FOR THE BEAUFORT SEA (DAYS 1 through 5)...Forecast
confidence is high. Westerly winds will persist through Friday.
Expect ice to drift eastward through Friday on the order of 5-10
nm/day. Easterly winds return on Saturday which will return east to
west movement of the ice pack. Near shore ice will continue to
degrade from the shore. Expect the melt area from the Mackenzie
River Delta to begin to make westward progress over the weekend.


-CHUKCHI SEA-

PKZ500-Western US Arctic Offshore-
PKZ505-Central US Arctic Offshore-
PKZ807-Wales to Cape Espenberg out to 15 nm-
PKZ808-Cape Espenberg to Motherwood Point out to 10 nm-
PKZ809-Motherwood Point to Cape Krusenstern out to 10 nm-
PKZ810-Cape Krusenstern to Cape Thompson out to 15 nm-
PKZ811-Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort out to 15 nm-
PKZ812-Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin out to 15 nm-
PKZ813-Point Franklin to Cape Halkett out to 15 nm-
PKZ855-Kotzebue Sound greater than 10 nm-
PKZ856-Wales to Cape Thompson greater than 15 nm-
PKZ857-Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort from 15 to 85 nm-
PKZ858-Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin from 15 to 85 nm-

Ice covered.

FORECAST FOR THE CHUKCHI SEA (DAYS 1 through 5)...Generally
southerly winds will hasten melt in the southern Chukchi Sea. A
strip of remaining pack ice will likely remain along the coast
between Cape Krusenstern and Point Hope. The ice edge will likely
move to the north 25 to 40 nm through the period.


-BERING SEA-

PKZ817-North side of Saint Lawrence Island out to 15 nm-

FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA (DAYS 1 through 5)...An area of brash
ice remains northeast of Saint Lawrence Island, which will melt in
coming days. Otherwise, Alaska waters of the Bering Sea are ice
free.


&&
Lawson