Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 162319
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.DISCUSSION...The same low pressure system that has lingered along the
west coast for days gradually weakens and shifts southeast through
Thursday. Scattered showers continue through that time frame, especially
over the Y-K Delta where up to 0.50" of rain is possible through Wednesday
evening. A few thunderstorms are possible across the western interior this
evening and a lower chance Wednesday afternoon/evening. A weather front
approaching from the northwest on Thursday may bring one last round of
rain showers, but dry weather is expected behind the front as a prolonged
period of ridging begins to build. This ridging brings mostly dry weather
and above normal temperatures away from the coast where onshore flow keeps
temperatures cooler late this week into next week. There is potential for
the warmest temperatures so far this summer early next week.

AKZ928-171730-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      None
Chance precip (%)     60           40           40           0
Temp (24h trend)      40-46 (0)    53-63 (0)    41-51        57-67
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (0)   ABV 40 (-5)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      W 3-7 G18    W 3-7 G17    SW 5-9 G19
CWR                   40           10           10           0
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 59 to 69. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 65 to 75.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45 to 53. Highs 71 to 81. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ924-171730-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     60           20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      36-46 (-2)   52-62 (+3)   40-50        55-65
RH % (24h trend)      88-100 (+2)  ABV 40 (-10) 86-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 4-8 G18   W 4-8 G19    W 6-10 G21   SW 7-11 G24
CWR                   20           0            0            0
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 41 to 50. Highs 56 to 66.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 53. Highs 67 to 77. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ925-171730-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            20
Temp (24h trend)      38-45 (0)    49-59 (+6)   40-48        53-63
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     ABV 40 (-10) 100          ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 7-11 G22  W 6-10 G20   W 7-11 G22   W 9-13 G24
CWR                   0            0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 40 to 48. Highs 50 to 60. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 42 to 48. Highs 56 to 66. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows 47 to
52. Highs 63 to 73. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ926-171730-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      none         None         Showers
Chance precip (%)     40           0            0            20
Temp (24h trend)      36-44 (-3)   48-58 (+5)   41-49        52-62
RH % (24h trend)      90-100 (0)   ABV 40 (-16) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 5-9 G18    NW 5-9 G18   W 5-9 G18    W 4-8 G17
CWR                   10           0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 42 to 49. Highs 52 to 62. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 42 to 48. Highs 59 to 69. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 65 to 75. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ929-171730-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      none
Chance precip (%)     70           50           50           0
Temp (24h trend)      39-46 (0)    51-61 (0)    39-49        56-66
RH % (24h trend)      91-100 (+3)  ABV 40 (0)   85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      W 3-7        W 3-7        SW 4-8 G17
CWR                   70           30           10           0
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 65 to 75.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44 to 53. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ930-171730-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           40           40           20
Temp (24h trend)      37-45 (-1)   51-61 (+1)   38-48        55-65
RH % (24h trend)      89-100 (0)   ABV 40 (-3)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7 G17   W 3-7        W 3-7        SW 3-7
CWR                   60           10           10           5
LAL                   2            1            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 42 to 51. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 63 to 73.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 53. Highs 70 to 80. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ951-171730-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           70           30
Temp (24h trend)      37-46 (+1)   45-55 (-2)   35-45        55-65
RH % (24h trend)      87-100 (-1)  ABV 40 (+3)  90-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 3-7 G17    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
CWR                   80           80           40           10
LAL                   2            1            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
37 to 47. Highs 63 to 73. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 67 to 77. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 52. Highs 73 to 83. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ952-171730-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           70           60           20
Temp (24h trend)      39-47 (0)    47-57 (-1)   39-49        55-65
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      ABV 40 (+1)  91-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7 G17   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
CWR                   70           70           20           5
LAL                   2            1            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
43 to 49. Highs 62 to 72. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 49. Highs 67 to 77. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 73 to 83. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ923-171730-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     40           0            20           20
Temp (24h trend)      36-44 (-3)   54-64 (+7)   39-49        62-72
RH % (24h trend)      87-100 (+2)  ABV 40 (-16) 84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 3-7 G18   SW 5-9 G20   SW 5-9 G18   S 8-12 G23
CWR                   10           0            0            0
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 57 to 67.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows 39 to
49. Highs 66 to 76. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ918-171730-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     60           0            20           20
Temp (24h trend)      38-44 (-2)   56-66 (+4)   43-53        70-80
RH % (24h trend)      89-100 (+2)  ABV 40 (-11) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 3-7 G17   W 4-8 G19    W 3-7 G18    S 10-14 G25
CWR                   10           0            0            0
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 66 to 76. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 41 to 50. Highs 60 to 70. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows 44 to
53. Highs 69 to 79. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ916-171730-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     40           0            20           20
Temp (24h trend)      42 (-3)      51-61 (-1)   46-54        62-72
RH % (24h trend)      87-100 (+6)  ABV 40 (0)   85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      W 7-11 G22   W 4-8 G18    S 7-11 G20
CWR                   5            0            0            0
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 47 to 55. Highs 59 to 69. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 60 to 70.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows 50 to
55. Highs 69 to 79. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ919-171730-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     50           20           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      41-47 (+1)   53-63 (+1)   41-51        56-66
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+1)  ABV 40 (+1)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      W 4-8 G19    W 4-8 G19    S 3-7 G18
CWR                   10           0            0            0
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 44 to 53.
Highs 59 to 69. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 52. Highs 66 to 76.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 72 to 82. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ913-171730-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     50           40           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      38-46 (0)    52-62 (+2)   38-48        53-63
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (-2)  ABV 40 (-5)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      SW 4-8 G18   SW 5-9 G19   S 7-11 G24
CWR                   10           0            20           10
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 58 to 68. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
45 to 51. Highs 67 to 77. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows 44 to
52. Highs 73 to 83. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ914-171730-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
319 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     40           30           40           30
Temp (24h trend)      38-46 (-1)   50-60 (-1)   40-50        60-70
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+2)  ABV 40 (-5)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      SW 6-10 G20  SW 5-9 G19   S 8-12 G23
CWR                   10           0            10           0
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 41 to 51.
Highs 55 to 65. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
42 to 51. Highs 58 to 68. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
42 to 52. Highs 64 to 74. South winds around 10 mph.

$$
EK Jul 24