Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV
287 FNUS85 KVEF 142145 FWLVEF ECCDA DISCUSSIONS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV 245 PM PDT SUN JUL 14 2024 ##################################################################### ## ## ## DISCUSSIONS FROM THE LATEST FWF BELOW ## ## ## ##################################################################### ...DISCUSSION FROM RNOFWFVEF... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. DRY LIGHTNING REMAINS A THREAT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND EASTERN SIERRA AS DRY AIR NEAR THE SURFACE WILL LIMIT CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS. VARIABLE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. THE BEST CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS WILL BE IN MOHAVE COUNTY, CLARK COUNTY, AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED TO WHERE CONVECTION DEVELOPS. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON, BUT WILL BE LIMITED TO THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA. ...DISCUSSION FROM LAXFWFSGX... A RED FLAG WARNING FOR DRY LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS CONTINUES THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE RIVERSIDE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGH DESERT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS AS WELL AS THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. FOR ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS, WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED, BUT FUELS ARE VERY DRY AND ISOLATED DRY LIGHTING IS LIKELY OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN CORE. IN ADDITION, STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS, POSSIBLY REACHING 35 TO 50 MPH, WILL CREATE BRIEF BUT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD ANY LIGHTNING STARTS OCCUR OR IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP NEAR EXISTING FIRES. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED IN SIMILAR MOUNTAIN AND HIGH DESERT AREAS ON MONDAY. DRIER BUT WARMER TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY, FOLLOWED BY SLOW COOLING AND A POTENTIAL RETURN OF MOUNTAIN AND DESERT THUNDERSTORMS BY NEXT WEEKEND. ...DISCUSSION FROM PHXFWFPSR... THE ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAINS THIS AFTERNOON IN PARTS OF SOUTHERN CA AND LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING IN SOUTH-CENTRAL AZ. OVERALL PROBABILITIES OF RAIN ARE AROUND 20-40%, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN NORTH AND EAST OF PHOENIX AND NEAR THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN CA. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF STORMS, BUT OUTFLOWS FROM MORE DISTANT STORMS COULD CAUSE A SUDDEN WIND SHIFT AND BRING STRONG WIND GUSTS. THE PROBABILITY OF 35 MPH THUNDERSTORM WINDS IS 50-70% IN SOUTH- CENTRAL AZ AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN CA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE A BIT LESS MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND REMAIN CONFINED MOSTLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS. ASIDE FROM THUNDERSTORM WINDS, GENERAL WINDS WILL FOLLOW TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS WITH AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH. MIN RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 20-30% THIS AFTERNOON AND FALL SLIGHTLY TO 15-25% MONDAY AND TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD, MOSTLY IN THE 40-60% RANGE. ##################################################################### ## ## ## AFTER REVIEWING THE FWF DISCUSSIONS (ABOVE) - COMPLETE ## ## THE DISCUSSION (BELOW) FOR THE ECCDA FORECAST ## ## WHEN DONE CLICK TRANSMIT, PRODUCT SENT AS KVEFFWLVEF ## ## ## ##################################################################### ECC027-151545- SAN BERNARDINO ECC DISPATCH- DISCUSSION FOR SAN BERNARDINO ECC DISPATCH 245 PM PDT SUN JUL 14 2024 ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VARIABLE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP. THE BEST CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS WILL BE IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED TO WHERE CONVECTION DEVELOPS. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON, BUT WILL BE LIMITED TO THE SAN BERNARDINO MOUNTAINS AND MOJAVE PRESERVE AREAS. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL RETURN OF MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORMS BY NEXT WEEKEND. $$