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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
197 FLUS44 KTSA 081024 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 524 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091030- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 524 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 ...MEDIUM CHANCE OF FLOODING TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY FROM BERYL... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...Significant. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon into Tonight. AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Along/east of a Hugo Oklahoma to Fayetteville Arkansas line. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Terrain of Southeast Oklahoma. ONSET...After midnight. DISCUSSION... A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible across northeast Oklahoma this morning into the early afternoon. Thunderstorms will increase in coverage this afternoon mainly across southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas as outer bands develop in advance of Tropical Cyclone Beryl. As these bands spread north, gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible. An isolated severe wind gust is possible. The right front quadrant of the storm, a region favorable for tornadoes from landfalling tropical storms, is expected to stay to the south and east of the area. An area of potentially heavy tropical rains will lift up into southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas tonight in association with the core of Beryl as the center moves northeast into the ArkLaTex. Multiple rounds of rainfall over southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas thru Tuesday morning could lead to some flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM Tuesday. Wind gusts to near 40 mph will be possible in the terrain of Southeast Oklahoma late tonight into Tuesday morning when the center of Beryl makes its closest approach to the area. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. WEDNESDAY thru FRIDAY...No Hazards. SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... The tropical rains from Beryl will be exiting western Arkansas during the day on Tuesday. Some heavy rain and flooding potential will likely linger into Tuesday morning with the rains coming to an end by Tuesday evening. A ridge of high pressure aloft will gradually build back over the Plains later this week. As a result, temperatures will climb, with highs in the upper 90s to near 100 in some spots by next weekend. Heat headlines may be needed. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$