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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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374 FXUS64 KTSA 140751 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 251 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today) Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 The dangerous heat will be top of mind today with heat index values set to top out in the 110 to 114 degree range across portions of eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas. The current heat advisory will be upgraded to an excessive heat warning for this area. Will keep the heat advisory for the remaining counties and will add northwest Arkansas to the advisory as well. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 The heat persists on Thursday. However, there will some potential for limited relief in the form of isolated to scattered showers/storms Thursday afternoon/evening as a weak frontal boundary moves into northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A few of these storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds the main concern. Above normal temperatures are set to continue into early next week as an upper level ridge amplifies over the Plains. There could be some shower/storm activity over the weekend on the eastern periphery of the building high. Heat headlines will likely be needed across portions of the area through the weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. South winds will gust to near 20 knots at times Wednesday at the northeast Oklahoma sites. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 99 79 98 75 / 0 10 20 30 FSM 99 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 10 MLC 98 78 98 77 / 0 0 10 10 BVO 99 76 97 71 / 0 10 30 30 FYV 94 75 96 74 / 10 0 10 30 BYV 95 75 97 73 / 10 0 20 30 MKO 96 77 97 75 / 0 0 10 20 MIO 96 75 97 71 / 10 10 30 30 F10 98 78 99 75 / 0 0 10 20 HHW 99 77 99 77 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053-057-058-062-063-068-069-073-075. Excessive Heat Warning from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054>056-059>061-064>067-070>072-074-076. AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ001-002-010-011. Excessive Heat Warning from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ019-020-029. && $$ SHORT TERM...10 LONG TERM....10 AVIATION...05