Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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896
FNUS75 KTFX 201742
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Dalton Fire...Southwest Monana Incident Management Team
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1142 AM MDT Sat Jul 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on July 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Late morning satellite imagery shows the development of some
ridgetop cumulus around the fire, with radar showing a few of
these are beginning to produce rainfall about 10 miles east of the
fire as of 1130 this morning. Expect any showers/thunderstorms to
be slow moving, and outflows from nearby storms could cause gusty
and erratic winds and additional development away from the
initial storm. Otherwise, the warm weather will continue with
highs near 90 today and Sunday, with overnight lows dipping to the
mid 50s with RH values recovering to around 60%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....89-94.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     25     39
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1
Temp............86     89     89
RH..............25     21     20
20 ft wind......E 5    NE 5   NE 10
20 ft wind gust.10     15     15
Ridgetop wind...NE 5   NE 5   NE 10
Haines index....3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....52-57.
Max humidity........62-67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph
                    overnight.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast 15 to 20 mph shifting to the east
                    after 3 am.
Haines Index........

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........33     22     22     22     22     23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............89     85     73     66     62     56
RH..............20     21     34     47     55     62
20 ft wind......NE 10  NE 10  E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     10     10
Ridgetop wind...NE 15  E 20   E 25   E 25   E 20   E 15
Haines index....3      3      M      M      M      M

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Haze late in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....88-93.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........East 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth early in the morning.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........6      5      2      3      3      8
Weather cov.....                     DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............54     62     77     85     88     90
RH..............67     57     38     26     22     20
20 ft wind......SE 0   E 5    E 5    E 10   E 10   E 10
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     15     15     15
Ridgetop wind...E 10   E 15   E 15   E 15   E 10   E 10
Haines index....M      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Ludwig
Requested by...Tavis Campbell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418354.21/TFX
.DELDT 07/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tfx.ops@noaa.gov,campbelltavis@gmail.com,mthdc@firenet.gov