537
FNUS72 KTBW 081300
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for ST2024S18...SWFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
900 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure ridge will drift south into south Florida with a
southwest to west flow across the region Tuesday and Wednesday.
Abundant moisture combined with this flow will lead to scattered
to numerous mainly morning into early afternoon showers and
thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Numerous showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and early afternoon, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 29.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........59     69     76     75     74
Weather cov.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).60     70     70     50     50
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3
Temp............82     86     86     89     89
RH..............85     75     72     68     69
20 ft wind......S 2    W 6    W 7    W 8    W 8
20 ft wind gust.7      10     12     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   2100   2400   1900   2100
Transport wind..W 7    W 8    W 10   W 9    W 12
Dispersion idx..12     26     22     23     29
LVORI...........4      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........77     82     79     70     56     56
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     50     50     50     40     40
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............87     84     83     81     80     79
RH..............71     76     80     84     87     87
20 ft wind......W 7    W 6    W 3    W 2    W 2    W 2
20 ft wind gust.13     10     8      7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   800    600    500    400    400
Transport wind..W 12   W 9    W 8    W 7    W 7    W 7
Dispersion idx..23     6      3      3      3      3
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
                    early in the morning. Scattered thunderstorms
                    through the day. Numerous showers early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 34 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 50 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 42.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........54     51     55     59     64     60
Weather cov.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).40     60     60     60     70     70
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............79     81     85     88     90     89
RH..............87     85     75     69     65     66
20 ft wind......W 2    W 2    W 5    W 8    W 10   W 9
20 ft wind gust.6      7      9      13     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....500    600    1300   2400   3700   2900
Transport wind..W 7    W 7    W 9    W 12   W 15   W 15
Dispersion idx..4      7      16     34     53     50
LVORI...........6      5      4      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Close
Requested by...SWFWMD
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417610.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL FELICIA.NUDO@SWFWMD.STATE.FL.US