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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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229 FXUS62 KTBW 130023 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 823 PM EDT Mon Aug 12 2024 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 823 PM EDT Mon Aug 12 2024 Surface high pressure holding across the Florida Peninsula setup weak west-southwest flow, with isolated to scattered showers and storms developing this afternoon. A few storms are still lingering over the interior early this evening, but this remaining convection is expected to dissipate over the next couple of hours, with generally rain free conditions holding overnight. The forecast looks on track for Tuesday, with continued west- southwest flow, although a slightly drier airmass could limit rain chances a bit more than what was seen today. Otherwise, heat index values are forecast to come close to Heat Advisory criteria once again. No significant changes planned for the evening update. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 823 PM EDT Mon Aug 12 2024 VFR conditions are forecast to hold through Tuesday morning. A few showers and storms will develop Tuesday afternoon along the coast, shifting inland through mid to late afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 256 PM EDT Mon Aug 12 2024 A WSW flow continues with light winds and seas. There could be a slight uptick in winds and subsequent seas this weekend as the gradient tightens with a weak and dry front, but this does not look to be substantial. Drier and more stable air should mean less thunderstorms over the waters, but hazardous seas should still be expected in the vicinity of storms. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 78 93 78 93 / 10 30 10 40 FMY 78 95 79 94 / 20 40 10 40 GIF 78 96 78 96 / 20 40 10 40 SRQ 78 93 78 92 / 10 20 10 30 BKV 76 93 76 95 / 10 30 10 40 SPG 83 93 83 92 / 10 20 10 30 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION...Fleming MARINE...Flannery