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Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
891 FXUS01 KWBC 200811 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 400 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Valid 12Z Sat Jul 20 2024 - 12Z Mon Jul 22 2024 ...A break in the heat continues for much of the eastern two-thirds of the country but heat will intensify in the interior Pacific Northwest through this weekend... ...Scattered thunderstorms continue across the South and Southeast as monsoonal thunderstorms linger across the Four Corners region... ...Scattered thunderstorms over the central Plains today will gradually shift in the southern Plains by Monday while a cold front will bring new rounds of thunderstorms across the northern tier states... A cool air mass settling in across the eastern two-thirds of the country will offer an extended reprieve from the heat through the next few days. Afternoon high temperatures will only reach into the 70s and 80s today from the northern and central Plains eastward through the Atlantic coast with the exception of the Sunshine State and the coastal plain of Georgia and South Carolina where highs will remain in the 90s. Texas will have highs into the 90s to near 100 this afternoon but will cool down into the 70s and 80s by Monday. In contrast, the heat across the western U.S. is expected to persist, with high temperatures once again exceeding 100 degrees across much of the region. The interior Pacific Northwest will feel the heat intensify, with afternoon readings possibly reaching 110 degrees at the hottest locations by Sunday afternoon along with little overnight relief. Daily highs across the Southwest will generally hover in the 110s. Please continue to practice heat safety in this persistent and prolonged heat wave in the western U.S. through the next couple of days. A Pacific cold front will approach the West Coast on Monday, lowering the heat only slightly for inland sections. The upper level pattern will be slow to change across the lower 48 through the next few days. A nearly stationary front will remain draped across the South and into the Mid-Atlantic region, keeping the cooler air north of the boundary and the warm, moist air to the south. The front will also help focusing and triggering scattered thunderstorms from the Gulf Coast to the Southeast through the next few days. For the Southwest/Four Corners region, monsoonal moisture will continue to support on-and-off thunderstorms through the weekend. These storms will keep an elevated threat for isolated to scattered flash flooding and severe weather, which may result from the strongest of the storms. Meanwhile, scattered thunderstorms over the central Plains today will gradually shift into the southern Plains by Monday as a weak low pressure wave slowly digs southward. Across the northern tier states, a cold front arriving from central Canada will bring new rounds of thunderstorms from the northern Plains through northern New England during the next couple of days. Kong Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$