315
FXUS64 KSJT 081919
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
219 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 203 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

A complex of storms that developed in the Permian Basin earlier
this morning, was moving southeast through Western Crockett
country this afternoon. there were also a few showers in eastern
Brown and San Saba Counties, in association with tropical storm
Beryle in East Texas.

These storms will weaken and end with loss of daytime heating. A
few storms, however, may redevelop later tonight....mainly west of
a San Angelo to Sonora line, and again Tuesday along a south of a
Big Lake to San Angelo to Junction line...as some weak
disturbances move through northwest flow aloft. Drier air,
otherwise, will move in behind the cold front, limiting rainfall
chances to the north. Temperatures rebound back to highs in the
lower to mid 90s Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 244 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Main upper level ridge will remain parked across the western US
through much of the upcoming week, only slowly drifting a little
farther east By late week and into the weekend. Upper level trough
axis and the remnants of Beryl will be off to the east, so upper
level support for any convection will be a little limited. Still,
plenty of moisture in place in an area far enough away from the
center of the ridge that capping will be limited as well. Expect
storms to develop along any residual boundaries through Friday,
with the best chances across the I-10 corridor east into the Hill
Country. Otherwise, after the slightly cooler conditions today,
temperatures will begin to inch up on Tuesday and then start to
approach the 100 degree mark across portions of the area by the
weekend. Give the ridge axis location expected for the weekend
(centered across Utah and Colorado), areas across the Big Country
likely to be the favored area for the hottest temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Scattered MVFR ceiling will become VFR around 18Z today. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will be too sparse to
included in terminals. Northeast winds may gust to 18 KTS this
afternoon behind a cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPSwestern/POPS...
Abilene     69  93  70  95 /  10   0   0   0
San Angelo  72  96  71  98 /  20  10  10  10
Junction    71  94  70  96 /  10  20  10  20
Brownwood   68  93  68  96 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  69  93  70  96 /  10  10   0  10
Ozona       72  91  71  94 /  20  30  10  20
Brady       70  93  71  95 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04