


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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802 FXUS64 KSJT 011704 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1204 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the Big Country this afternoon. - Localized heavy rainfall could occur with any strong cells that develop. - Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday through Friday, with warm and humid conditions persisting. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 211 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Another humid day is expected with chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms as west central Texas remains in weak troughing. The upper-level trough, consisting mainly of the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry, will continue to push a moist gulf airmass into west central Texas. At the surface, the cold front that reached the I-20 corridor yesterday evening should remain in place through the day. Low-level flow should lift moisture over this boundary and allow another round of showers and storms to develop across the Big Country this afternoon. PWAT values look a bit lower today (around 1.8 inches) than yesterday (over 2 inches), but localized flooding is still possible, especially for areas that saw heavy rainfall yesterday. Further south, scattered showers and thunderstorms are anticipated, mainly where pockets of greatest heating occur. Extensive cloud cover today, albeit broken, should result in high temperatures ranging from the mid 80s to low 90s. Chances for showers should continue into the evening before diminishing after sunset. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1145 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 A subtropical ridge to the east of the region will keep broad southerly flow from the surface up to 500mb, and will continue the influx of Gulf moisture into West Central Texas the end of this week. Generally this will keep warm and humid conditions, as well as some scattered showers and thunderstorm chances in the forecast through the end of the week. While severe weather is not expected, precipitable water values will be high (1.50 to 2+ inches), which will contribute to locally heavy downpours and increase potential for flooding with the stronger storms. Expect slightly below normal temperatures through the end of the week due to the increase in humidity and cloud cover, with highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s. Warmest temperatures are expected across the Big Country and northern portions of the Concho Valley and Heartland. The ridge will gradually shift back westward across the region by the weekend, decreasing precipitation chances slightly and bringing some warmer afternoon high temperatures to the area through Monday. High temperatures over the weekend and into early next week will climb back into the mid to upper 90s, with warm overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1146 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Scattered to numerous showers, and a few thunderstorms, are possible at all sites this afternoon and evening. Any thunderstorms may result in locally heavy rainfall which will result in reduced visibilities. Stratus will result in MVFR ceilings Wednesday morning at KJCT and KSOA. Expect south to southeast winds to generally remain below 12 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 72 86 71 86 / 40 40 30 50 San Angelo 71 81 70 85 / 50 50 40 50 Junction 70 84 70 86 / 40 50 40 50 Brownwood 73 89 71 88 / 20 30 20 30 Sweetwater 71 83 71 86 / 50 50 40 60 Ozona 69 79 69 82 / 50 60 50 50 Brady 72 84 70 86 / 30 40 30 40 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SK LONG TERM....TP AVIATION...Daniels