Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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411 FXUS64 KSJT 121802 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 102 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 239 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Today`s weather will be similar to the past few days, with highs ranging from the lower 90s to around 100 degrees. Our southern counties could see increased cloud cover this afternoon as an inverted trough starts to set up to our southwest and moisture increases through the column. This cloud cover will help keep this area a few degrees cooler compared to areas further north. With the increase in moisture, precipitable water values are forecast to approach 1.5 inches in our southeastern counties by this afternoon. There is a slight chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms in the I-10 corridor starting this afternoon. Any storms that do develop will have the potential to produce lightning, gusty winds, and locally heavy rainfall. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 159 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Upper level ridge will remain centered near Las Vegas this weekend, with a secondary high over the gulf coast. Shear axis will be between them across portions of Texas. Some of the latest CAMs show at least some scattered convection developing across the Edwards Plateau north into the Concho Valley on Saturday afternoon and will continue to include some mention of showers and storms for this time period. This shear axis will persist into next week and will effectively keep some chance for convection across much of the area. Best chances may end up being Wednesday and Thursday when a little more shortwave energy rounding the top of the main upper high moves across the area and may act to provide a little better upper level support. As for temperatures, none of the convection looks terribly widespread enough to drop temperatures very much with highs mainly in the mid and upper 90s. Hottest readings will be across the Big Country closer to the center of the main upper high, and a little cooler across the I-10 corridor which will be both farther away and more likely to see additional cloud cover and best rain chances. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 101 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024 VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals the next 24 hours, with light winds through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 73 97 73 97 / 0 10 0 10 San Angelo 73 96 73 98 / 0 20 10 10 Junction 73 92 73 93 / 10 30 10 10 Brownwood 71 95 72 96 / 0 10 0 10 Sweetwater 73 97 73 98 / 0 0 0 10 Ozona 71 90 71 91 / 0 30 10 10 Brady 71 92 72 93 / 10 20 10 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...AP LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...24