864
FXUS64 KSJT 080633
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
133 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated Thunderstorms late this afternoon with dangerous
  lightning and localized flooding

- Warmer temperatures by the latter part of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025

A quiet early morning across the area. However, thunderstorms are
moving southeast across the South Plains near Lubbock. The storms
should dissipate in the next few hours before reaching our area.
Looking for a more typical summer day across the area. However,
the Hi-Res models are still indicate isolated to widely scattered
thunderstorms developing across much of the area late this
afternoon and early evening. The main hazards will be dangerous
lightning and localized flooding. Highs will be mid 80s to mid
90s. For Tonight, looks mainly quiet with any convection
dissipating by 03Z.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025

An tropical wave is forecast to move onto the Texas coast Tuesday
resulting in an influx of moisture. Some of this moisture is
forecast to move into our southeast counties on Wednesday.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
Wednesday afternoon across our southeast counties, with most of
the activity dissipating by mid evening. Highs on Wednesday will
be in the low to mid 90s.

Upper level ridging across the Southwest U.S. will nudge into West
Texas Thursday into Friday, resulting in drier and hotter
temperatures. Highs both days will be in the low to upper 90s. As we
head into the weekend, West Central Texas will be nudged in between
the aforementioned upper level ridge to our west and another upper
level ridge centered across the Southeast US. This will result in
highs near to below normal this weekend into early next week. In
addition, isolated to scattered showers will be possible.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Expect a few hours of MVFR ceilings at KJCT/KBBD terminals Tuesday
morning. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions. The Hi-Res models
indicate isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms across much
of the area late Tuesday afternoon and early evening. Confidence
is to low to mention at any of the TAF sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     92  73  94  75 /  20  10  10   0
San Angelo  91  71  92  72 /  20  10  10   0
Junction    89  71  90  70 /  10  10  20   0
Brownwood   90  71  90  71 /  20  20  20   0
Sweetwater  93  73  95  74 /  20  20  10   0
Ozona       89  71  90  71 /  10   0   0   0
Brady       87  71  88  71 /  20  10  20   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...21