313
FXUS64 KOHX 111723 CCA
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion...Corrected For Aviation Section
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1219 PM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

The temperature and humidity will start creeping up today and each
day through the remainder of the forecast. A weak mid level trough
will remain to our northwest through Friday evening keeping
conditions dry and warm with temperatures rising into the low to
mid 90s each afternoon. Overnight lows are expected to be in the
mid to upper 60s Friday morning, which may be the coolest
temperatures we see for the next week. This could help encourage
patchy fog early tomorrow morning, especially around bodies of
water. As the previously mentioned mid level trough lifts north a
weak shortwave will bring a quick shot of showers and storms to
western Kentucky during the day on Friday. A few showers could
hold together and drift into our northwest counties late Friday,
but chances are fairly low for now. If they do make it into
Tennessee, they should be quickly decaying.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

The weekend looks hot and dry with all eyes on the rising
dewpoints and temps. The heat index will work it`s way to 100 by
Sunday afternoon west of the Plateau and we`ll only get warmer as
the work week begins. There is some model discrepancy on how warm
temperatures will get. We should see an increase in moisture
Monday through Wednesday, when our national blend wants to push
temperatures above 100. This may be a bit too warm considering the
climbing dewpoints we`re also expecting, so decided to back off
slightly on the high temperatures, but this does NOT mean it won`t
be hot. The heat index should approach or possibly exceed 105
degrees by midweek next week. We should see some relief come in
the form of scattered showers and storms Wednesday that become
more widespread into Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

Surface ridging influences along with dry southwesterly flow aloft
will support diurnal based sct/bkn VFR CU field development along
with some sct/bkn high level cloudiness at times to mid state
region thru 12/18Z. Some patchy fog development could be possible
reducing vsbys to MVFR/IFR fog induced thresholds CKV 12/09Z-12/13Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      71  96  73  97 /   0   0   0  10
Clarksville    69  91  70  94 /   0  10   0  10
Crossville     63  90  66  90 /   0  10   0  10
Columbia       68  95  70  97 /   0   0   0  10
Cookeville     66  90  68  92 /   0  10   0  10
Jamestown      64  89  66  90 /   0  10   0  10
Lawrenceburg   66  94  70  96 /   0   0   0  10
Murfreesboro   68  96  71  98 /   0   0   0  10
Waverly        69  93  70  94 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Whitehead
LONG TERM....Whitehead
AVIATION.....JB Wright