Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
306 FXUS64 KOHX 151749 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1249 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Tuesday) Issued at 1135 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 We have already issued a Heat Advisory for this afternoon and again for tomorrow, but mostly for tomorrow. We do expect a few locations in the advisory area to reach a heat index of 105+ today, but even more so tomorrow. A surface ridge is situated to our east today, placing us under a southwesterly flow at the surface. There are some storm chances today mainly along the Cumberland Plateau, and again for tomorrow. Tomorrow is going to be the hottest day, because temperatures will start to back down after tomorrow. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 1135 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 A strong surface boundary will approach Middle Tennessee from the northwest late tomorrow night, with storm chances developing by the overnight period and becoming more widespread on Wednesday. The boundary will become quasi-stationary over us (yay!) and won`t completely make it through the mid state until Thursday night or Friday, but will then come back through as a warm front as it connects with a low pressure system out west this weekend and the first part of next week. So we`re about to trade our hot, dry pattern for a rainier spell with much cooler temperatures. At this time, we aren`t outlooked for any severe storms. The only hazardous weather is the Heat Advisory covering this afternoon and tomorrow. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Mainly VFR conditions expected at all sites. A few storms have formed east of CSV, but these should continue to move east and away from the terminal. Winds are light and southwesterly at sites, with the exception of CKV where southwest winds are gusting between 15 and 20 knots. They should relax later this evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 77 101 77 95 / 0 10 40 80 Clarksville 75 98 75 90 / 0 10 60 80 Crossville 68 92 70 89 / 10 20 50 90 Columbia 74 100 75 96 / 0 10 30 80 Cookeville 72 93 72 89 / 10 10 50 90 Jamestown 70 92 71 88 / 10 10 50 90 Lawrenceburg 73 98 75 95 / 10 10 30 80 Murfreesboro 74 100 75 96 / 10 10 30 80 Waverly 74 98 74 91 / 0 0 40 70 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for Cheatham-Davidson- Dickson-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Lewis-Maury-Montgomery-Perry- Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Wayne- Williamson-Wilson. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....Whitehead