761
FZNT25 KNHC 151500
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 15 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...A weak surface ridge will maintain gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across most of the
basin into early next week. High pressure will build modestly
across the NE Gulf Thu night through Fri night to produce
moderate to fresh easterly winds and a mild increase in seas.
Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds, and scattered
showers and thunderstorms are expected along the Yucatan
Peninsula each evening through the period.

.THIS AFTERNOON...N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NE to E 10 to 15 kt
late. Seas 2 ft or less.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt
late. Seas 3 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to N to NE in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds less than 5 kt, shifting to SE late.
Seas 2 ft or less.
.SUN...S winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft or less.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds less than 5 kt, becoming S to SW 5 kt late.
Seas 2 ft or less.
.MON...SW to W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Ernesto is near 25.0N 69.2W at 11 AM EDT,
and is moving north at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 75 kt
with gusts to 90 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 975 mb.
Ernesto will move to 26.6N 68.7W this evening, 28.5N 67.5W Fri
morning, 30.3N 66.3W Fri evening, then pass very near
Bermuda at 32.0N 65.5W Sat morning, and continuing northward to
33.6N 65.1W Sat evening and beyond. A weak frontal boundary
extends from near Bermuda to central Florida and will drift
southward across the northwestern part of the area, and stall to
the NW of Ernesto by Fri, producing moderate to fresh NE winds
behind it. Large swell from Ernesto will spread W of 75W today
through Fri night before subsiding Sat through Sun. Conditions
should improve across the basin Sun into early next week in the
wake of Ernesto.

.THIS AFTERNOON...S of 27N, SE to S winds less than 5 kt,
shifting to NW in the afternoon. N of 27N, N to NE winds 10 to
15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N.
Chance of tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt N of
27N. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI...N winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and N to NE 10 to 15 kt N of
27N. S of 27N, seas 2 ft or less, building to 3 ft in the
afternoon. N of 27N, seas 5 to 7 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft S of 27N, and 5 to
7 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to
6 ft N of 27N.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE late. Seas 2 ft
or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N.
.SUN...S winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and
4 to 6 ft N of 27N.
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and
4 to 6 ft N of 27N.
.MON...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to
6 ft N of 27N.
.MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of
27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N.