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Offshore Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
761 FZNT25 KNHC 151500 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 15 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...A weak surface ridge will maintain gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across most of the basin into early next week. High pressure will build modestly across the NE Gulf Thu night through Fri night to produce moderate to fresh easterly winds and a mild increase in seas. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds, and scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along the Yucatan Peninsula each evening through the period. .THIS AFTERNOON...N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NE to E 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds less than 5 kt, shifting to SE late. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...S winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds less than 5 kt, becoming S to SW 5 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...SW to W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Ernesto is near 25.0N 69.2W at 11 AM EDT, and is moving north at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 75 kt with gusts to 90 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 975 mb. Ernesto will move to 26.6N 68.7W this evening, 28.5N 67.5W Fri morning, 30.3N 66.3W Fri evening, then pass very near Bermuda at 32.0N 65.5W Sat morning, and continuing northward to 33.6N 65.1W Sat evening and beyond. A weak frontal boundary extends from near Bermuda to central Florida and will drift southward across the northwestern part of the area, and stall to the NW of Ernesto by Fri, producing moderate to fresh NE winds behind it. Large swell from Ernesto will spread W of 75W today through Fri night before subsiding Sat through Sun. Conditions should improve across the basin Sun into early next week in the wake of Ernesto. .THIS AFTERNOON...S of 27N, SE to S winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon. N of 27N, N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N. Chance of tstms. .TONIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...N winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and N to NE 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. S of 27N, seas 2 ft or less, building to 3 ft in the afternoon. N of 27N, seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE late. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .SUN...S winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .MON...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N.