Offshore Forecast
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579
FZNT25 KNHC 160327
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1127 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure behind a surface trough that extends
from Mississippi to Tampa Bay, Florida will support moderate to
fresh winds and a slight building of seas in the NE Gulf. High
pressure builds across the basin this weekend into early next
week, centered near 24N with moderate or weaker winds and mainly
slight seas. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds, and
scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along the
Yucatan Peninsula each evening through the period.

.OVERNIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered
tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft or less.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to S to SW after
midnight. Seas 2 ft or less.
.MON...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S to SW 5 to
10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less.
.TUE...SW to W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Ernesto is near 27.1N 68.1W at 11 PM EDT,
and is moving north-northeast at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds
are 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt, and the minimum central pressure
is 968 mb. Ernesto will move to 28.5N 67.1W Fri morning, 30.4N
65.9W Fri evening, 32.1N 65.1W Sat morning, 33.5N 64.8W Sat
evening, 35.4N 64.1W Sun morning, and 38.2N 62.6W Sun evening.
Ernesto will change little in intensity as it moves near 45.6N
54.6W late Mon. Large swells generated by Ernesto will spread
westward to Bahamas and SE United States coast including Florida.
Meanwhile, a weak frontal boundary NW of Ernesto to just NE of
Freeport in the Bahamas will remain stalled before dissipating
through Fri evening. Conditions should improve across the basin
Sun into early next week in the wake of Ernesto.

.OVERNIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt N
of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.FRI...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.FRI NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE to E swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE to E swell.
.SUN...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S of 27N, E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to S
after midnight. N of 27N, S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON...SW winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SW 15 to 20 kt N of 27N.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and S to SW 10 to
15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE...S winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SW 10 to 15 kt N of 27N.
Seas 3 to 4 ft.