502
FXUS64 KMOB 151742
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1241 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the period with the
exception of reduced ceilings and visibilities in and around any
convection this afternoon. Scattered showers and storms are
beginning to develop across the area and will linger into the
early evening hours before dissipating. Light southeasterly winds
are generally anticipated through the period. /14

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

Clear and calm conditions persist across the area early this
morning, with relatively mild temperatures expected for the predawn
hours. Upper ridging will generally remain in place through the near
term period, retreating just a bit to the west today. This will keep
temps from climbing into the triple digits like we observed
yesterday. That said, though the air temperature may not be as hot
as yesterday, humid conditions will continue and heat indices will
climb into the triple digits once again this afternoon. Weaknesses
in the ridge, combined with an abundance of moisture, will enhance
any diurnally driven thunderstorms that are able to initiate along
the seabreeze and any lingering surface boundaries. Coverage will be
scattered and any storms that are able to develop will produce
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

Similar conditions are expected for tonight, as high pressure
maintains its hold on the weather pattern. Temperatures will be mild
once again during the overnight hours, with clearing skies and temps
falling into the lower 70s across our northern areas to the upper
70s along the coast. /73



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      76  93  75  95  76  96  73  95 /  20  60  10  30  20  40  40  20
Pensacola   79  91  78  93  78  95  75  95 /  40  40  10  20  20  40  40  20
Destin      79  91  78  92  79  92  77  94 /  20  20  10  20  20  40  40  20
Evergreen   73  95  72  95  73  96  70  93 /  10  20  10  30  30  40  30  10
Waynesboro  75  96  73  97  71  96  69  95 /  10  50  10  40  20  30  20  10
Camden      73  93  73  94  72  92  70  92 /  10  30  10  40  30  40  20   0
Crestview   74  95  71  95  73  95  72  95 /  20  30   0  20  20  50  40  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ052-261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>204.

MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...None.
&&

$$

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