408
FXUS64 KMOB 100605
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
105 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Now Through Wednesday...

A generally diurnal pattern of showers and storms continues through
the weekend and into the early part of next week.

Ridging aloft remains a persistent feature through much of the
period. The ridge over the Southeast continues to get shunted
further to the south today as an upper level trough briefly lifts
across the Northeast. The western Atlantic ridge aloft quickly
builds back into the region on Friday with the ridge prominently
overhead this weekend. A subtle upper low or weak inverted trough
skirts around the southern periphery of the ridge and drifts
across the Gulf with little fanfare this weekend. While ridging
aloft keeps its grip over the area through the early part of next
week, another inverted trough drifts westward toward the Florida
peninsula and begins to nudge the ridge to our west somewhat. The
latter inverted trough will likely open a firehose of moisture
somewhere in the Southeast by the middle of next week. While the
pattern does look to turn wetter for the local area by the middle
to latter part of next week, pinpointing specifics related to the
forecast that far out are difficult and we will continue to refine
the forecast as we get closer in time.

Hot and humid weather persists as we roll deeper into the summer
months. Expect highs to top out in the mid to low 90s each
afternoon area-wide. Heat indices will generally range from
101-107F this afternoon and on Friday with increasing chances of
potentially hitting 108-111F this weekend through the early part
of next week as the ridge builds directly overhead. Heat
Advisories are possible by late this weekend.

Beach Forecast - The rip current risk is LOW across coastal Alabama
this morning with a MODERATE risk across northwest Florida. The risk
briefly increases to MODERATE for all beaches late this afternoon
and evening. The risk will generally remain LOW throughout the
weekend and into early next week with a brief bump to MODERATE for
northwest Florida likely by Sunday afternoon. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours.
Another round of scattered storms will develop this afternoon.
Expect brief reductions in visibility and ceilings in some of the
heavier activity. Light westerly to northwesterly winds this
morning will turn southwesterly by the afternoon hours. Winds
along the coast could increase to around 10- 15 knots. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms, especially by the middle to latter
part of next week. 07/mb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      92  73  91  74  92  74  93  75 /  50  40  80  20  60  10  60  10
Pensacola   92  77  91  78  91  78  93  78 /  60  30  70  20  50  10  50  20
Destin      92  80  91  80  91  80  93  80 /  50  30  60  20  50  10  50  20
Evergreen   94  72  92  72  93  72  95  73 /  70  40  80  10  60  10  50  10
Waynesboro  92  72  92  72  93  72  95  73 /  70  40  80  10  50  10  50  10
Camden      91  72  89  72  92  73  93  73 /  70  40  80  20  50  10  40  10
Crestview   94  73  92  72  93  73  95  74 /  60  20  80  10  70  10  60  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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