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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
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833 FXUS64 KMOB 201745 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1245 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop through the afternoon hours across the local area, helping to bring brief reductions in visibilities and ceilings to MVFR or IFR. Outside of storms, VFR conditions should generally prevail. Rain chances are expected to decrease during the evening hours, however convection should redevelop once again near the coast during the overnight hours and through Sunday morning. /96 && .NEAR TERM... (Now through Sunday) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Our overall synoptic pattern will remain relatively unchanged through the near term period, with upper troughing draped across the south-central CONUS, and upper ridging building west across the Gulf coast region from high pressure centered out over the Atlantic by Sunday. A surface front will remain situated across portions of the Deep South through Sunday as well, generally extending from the Tennessee Valley region southwest across parts of central and northern Mississippi. While there will continue to be a fairly good chance for showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, it appears that coverage should not be quite as widespread as the past several days due to less weak shortwave energy aloft and the fact that slight upper ridging will begin to poke into our area from the east. Still expecting a mostly diurnal pattern, with showers and storms diminishing across the entire area during the evening hours and then re-firing near the coast and just offshore during the late night and early morning hours. Shower and thunderstorm coverage on Sunday should be similar to Saturday, starting off in the morning hours near the coast and becoming a little more numerous with best coverage over inland areas during the afternoon hours. As has been the case over the past few days, showers and storms will be somewhat "hit or miss" across the region both Saturday and Sunday, with scattered to locally numerous coverage each day. No one particular location will be looking at a prolonged period of rainfall. Some brief heavy rainfall could be possible in some locations though, and a few of the storms could produce some strong gusty winds during the late afternoon hours each day. Highs both Saturday and Sunday will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with locations that may see a little more rainfall only in the mid 80s. Lows Saturday night mainly in the lower to middle 70s over interior locations, with upper 70s closer to the coast and even some lower 80s at the beaches and along the barrier islands. DS/12 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 75 89 73 89 74 89 74 88 / 50 80 50 70 40 70 40 70 Pensacola 77 89 77 89 78 90 77 89 / 50 70 50 60 40 60 50 70 Destin 79 89 79 90 79 90 79 89 / 60 70 50 60 40 60 40 60 Evergreen 72 88 71 89 71 89 71 88 / 50 70 40 70 30 70 30 70 Waynesboro 72 90 70 89 71 88 71 88 / 50 70 30 70 40 70 30 70 Camden 71 86 70 88 70 87 71 87 / 60 70 40 70 40 70 30 70 Crestview 73 90 72 91 73 92 73 90 / 50 80 40 60 30 70 40 70 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob