Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
602 FNUS72 KMLB 091154 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for 123 Scrub...The Nature Conservancy National Weather Service Melbourne FL 754 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 09. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Light winds early this morning will become west to southwest around 5 to 10 mph. A few showers will be possible into the morning, with isolated to scattered showers and storms possible across the burn site this afternoon (chance of rain 50%). Any storms will be capable of producing wind gusts to 40 to 45 mph, frequent lightning strikes, and locally heavy rainfall. Dispersion values will be Fair this afternoon. Temperatures will not be as hot as yesterday, but highs will still reach the low 90s, with humid conditions producing peak heat index values around 104. This level of heat can affect anyone without adequate precautions. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers late in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes until 1400, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........61 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....16 increasing to 36 early in the afternoon. LVORI...............5 decreasing to 3 in the late morning and afternoon. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........58 61 65 57 69 68 70 72 75 Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 20 30 30 40 50 50 LAL.............1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 Temp............80 85 86 87 88 88 88 90 86 RH..............89 78 75 72 68 67 66 61 70 20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 20 FT wind gust.6 8 10 12 13 14 14 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.9 2.9 3.6 3.5 2.8 2.6 2.8 1.8 Transp wind dir.SW SW W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.6 7 8 8 10 10 13 13 12 Dispersion idx..11 20 28 34 36 34 35 32 27 LVORI...........5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until 2300, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 75. Max humidity........94 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast around 5 mph early in the evening, then becoming light late in the evening becoming south around 5 mph late in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 5 to 6 mph in the late evening and overnight. Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 5. LVORI...............4 increasing to 8. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........75 71 75 70 66 61 60 67 73 68 60 57 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 30 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 LAL.............3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............86 85 81 80 79 79 78 78 77 77 77 76 RH..............68 73 79 85 88 88 91 88 89 89 92 94 20 FT wind dir..N NE SE S S S S S S S S SW 20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 2 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.12 9 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW S S S S S S S SW Transp wind spd.10 8 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 Dispersion idx..19 9 3 1 1 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 7 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 9-15 strikes until 1400, then 1-8 strikes until 1700, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........57 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph. Dispersion index....7 increasing to 33. LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........54 58 70 72 72 70 61 57 59 63 67 68 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 Temp............76 76 79 82 84 85 87 89 91 91 91 90 RH..............92 92 91 83 78 73 67 63 58 58 59 57 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 7 9 12 13 13 14 14 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.1 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 Dispersion idx..2 3 5 6 8 11 19 27 33 35 34 30 LVORI...........6 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Weitlich Requested by...Adam Peterson Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2417670.0/MLB .DELDT 07/09/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL apeterson@tnc.org