Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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750
FNUS76 KMFR 170653
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Little Yamsay...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1153 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure moving into the region will produce
increasing south winds across the fire area Saturday. In addition
there is a chance for showers and thunderstorms. With a strong jet
stream moving in, storms will be capable of large hail and strong
gusty winds. Low pressure lifts north and the fire remains under
southwest flow aloft through Tuesday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south up to 4 mph with
                    gusts to around 7 mph late in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming south 8 to 12 mph
                    with gusts to around 18 mph late in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2.

TIME (PDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR CLEAR  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2
Temp............47     65     74     78     77
RH..............78     51     34     22     22
20 ft wind......S 3    S 3    S 8    S 12   S 12
20 ft wind gust.6      6      13     18     18
Eye level wind..S 1    S 1    S 3    S 4    S 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.2      2      5      7      7

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 4 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    early in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2000, then 1.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1
Temp............72     62     52     48     42     38
RH..............32     52     85     93     98     99
20 ft wind......SW 12  SW 8   SW 8   S 5    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.18     12     12     7      8      8
Eye level wind..SW 4   SW 3   SW 3   S 2    S 2    S 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.7      5      5      3      3      3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............38     44     57     67     72     75
RH..............99     98     65     37     24     18
20 ft wind......S 6    S 7    S 7    SW 8   SW 9   SW 9
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     12     14     14
Eye level wind..S 2    S 3    S 3    SW 3   SW 3   SW 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.4      4      4      5      5      5

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...STAVISH
Requested by...Shane Foster
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420228.2/MFR
.DELDT 08/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shane.foster2@usda.gov