840
FNUS76 KMFR 172204
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Antelope Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
304 PM PDT Sat Aug 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 PDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A deep upper low offshore will get close enough to
bring showers and thunderstorms along and west of the Cascades today.
One or two of these could sneak east of the Cascades this afternoon
or evening, but most of the time will be dry. Strongest south to SW
winds will be east of the fire, but it could still be gusty this
afternoon and evening, especially near any thunderstorm that manages to
develop. Things calm down Sunday into Tuesday with temperatures below
normal levels and humidity up a little from where it normally is this
time of year. Another episode of breezy to windy weather may accompany
another trough late in the week. It`s too early to say if any
significant precipitation will accompany this trough.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers (30-50%)
                    with a slight chance of a thunderstorm (~20%).
                    Haze/patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
Eye level winds.....NE 0-3 mph shifting to SW 1000, then SW 3-8 mph with gusts
                    up to 15 mph this afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........NE 2-5 mph shifting to SW around 0900-1000, then SW
                    5-10 mph increasing to 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
                    after 1400. Any thunderstorm could produce gusty and
                    erratic outflow winds up in excess of 30 mph.
Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15-30 mph.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Isolated to scattered
                    showers this evening (30-50%) with a slight chance of
                    a thunderstorm (15%) early this evening. Haze/patchy smoke.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....SW 3-8 mph with gusts to 15 mph this evening, easing to
                    2-5 mph by 2300, then NE 0-3 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 10-20 with gusts up to 30 mph this evening,
                    easing to 5-10 mph by 2300, then shifting to NE 2-5 mph
                    overnight. Any thunderstorm this evening could produce
                    gusty and erratic outflow winds up in excess of 30 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-20 mph easing to 10 mph.
CWR.................9 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Eye level winds.....NE 0-1 mph early, then SW 2-6 mph with gusts to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........NW 2-5 mph early, then SW 7-10 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15-20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Joel Johnson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420441.1/MFR
.DELDT 08/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joel.johnson@usda.gov