236
FXUS64 KMAF 160503
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1203 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

Widely scattered storms are developing in the Davis Mountains
this afternoon. Instability is much less today since an upper
trough has moved east of the area, but residual low level moisture
and strong surface heating may allow for isolated storms to
develop farther north and east. Unfortunately anyone will be very
lucky to receive rainfall today. Lows tonight remain unseasonably
warm and tomorrow the heat continues with highs in the upper 90s
to 100s.

Hennig

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

An upper level ridge remains virtually stationary for at least
the next seven days. The center of the high, and greatest
subsidence, will remain to our north keeping West Texas and
southeastern New Mexico in an easterly flow. Therefore
temperatures increase through the week but the increase will be
gradual. Heat stress will be a concern for anyone outdoors in the
extended period, especially early next week when highs start
reaching 105 and beyond. Heat Advisories will probably be needed
when that time approaches. The high pressure aloft will prevent
any rain chances after today.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

VFR prevails through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               77 104  75 104 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 75 102  73 100 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   76 101  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            75 101  73 100 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           71  94  70  92 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    72 101  71 100 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    66  95  65  94 /   0  10   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     76 101  75 101 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   77 101  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     78 103  77 103 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...29