Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
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242 FXUS64 KMAF 170711 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 211 AM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday afternoon) Issued at 144 AM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 Saturday looks like a repeat of Friday with highs back into the 100s for most locations outside of the higher terrain. The hottest conditions relative to normal will reside across the the northeastern Permian Basin where temperatures will surpass 105 degrees. A Heat Advisory has already been issued for that area. Increasing subsidence will keep much of the area dry with an isolated storm still possible in the Davis Mountains. After another mild night, Sunday is a complete repeat of the hot and dry conditions. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 144 AM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 Mid level ridging will strengthen overhead and only make it hotter early next week. With support from ensembles, next week is likely to be the hottest of the summer. There is still some disagreement on which day or days will be hottest, but there is >40% confidence in highs reaching >105F for most of the area at least one day. Widespread heat products are likely and if anyone has plans to be outside, mornings and evenings are best. Heat is cumulative and can affect even the healthiest of people. With subsidence so strong, we still don`t see much in the way of precipitation through the end of next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 AM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 Monitoring a dying outflow boundary moving in from LUB. Winds could briefly switch to the north at KHOB and KMAF, but should quickly return to the south. Otherwise, VFR prevails. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 105 76 104 76 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 103 73 101 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 102 75 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 102 73 101 73 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 95 70 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 102 72 100 71 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 97 65 94 64 / 10 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 102 75 101 75 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 102 76 101 76 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 104 77 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for Borden-Howard-Mitchell-Scurry. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...29 LONG TERM....29 AVIATION...29