![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
201 FXUS64 KMAF 171911 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 211 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 - A heat advisory continues over the northeastern Permian Basin through early this evening. - Another heat advisory for the same area for tomorrow will be issued later this evening. Hot. And getting hotter. The subtropical ridge responsible for the heat will not be going away anytime soon, and as such temperatures will rise into the 100-105 degree range across the northeastern Permian Basin and 105-115 across areas around the Rio Grande. Overnight lows tonight and again Sunday night will fall into the 60s over the higher terrain to around 80 along the Rio Grande. Winds will remain out of the south to southeast at around 5-15 mph, with some higher late morning and afternoon gusts. Skies will be mostly clear with no appreciable chance of rain except for maybe the Davis Mountains, were isolated (< 15 percent coverage) thunderstorms are forecast. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Friday) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 Not much will change next week, except for perhaps some records. The subtropical high will move little through the end of the week, and the heat will only increase as thicknesses increase. The cumulative effects of this heat cannot be overstated, and we expect a continuation of Heat Advisories and quite possibly a couple of Excessive Heat Warnings, especially over the northeastern Basin and perhaps along the Rio Grande. Mostly clear skies and dry conditions will prevail, with lows ranging from the 60s at higher elevations to around 80 along the Rio Grande and highs around 90 at higher elevations to 105-115 degrees along both the Rio Grande and across the northeastern Basin. Temperatures in urban areas could also reach these levels, owing to radiative feedback from pavement surfaces and buildings. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1239 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 CAVU conditions are forecast across all area aerodromes through 18/18Z. Light winds, mainly out of the south to southeast, are forecast. Will see some occasional gusty winds around 20 knots at any terminal; confidence is highest at KHOB and KPEQ this afternoon. Winds should die back some after sunset. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 76 103 76 104 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 73 100 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 75 100 75 101 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 74 100 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 69 92 69 91 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 72 99 72 99 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 65 93 65 93 / 10 10 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 76 100 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 77 100 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 77 102 76 102 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for Borden-Howard- Mitchell-Scurry. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...70 LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...70