065
FXUS64 KLZK 110548
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1248 AM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024

NW flow aloft will bring cooler temperatures through the weekend.
By this evening...a round of light rain showers will be possible
across northwestern locations as rain begins to taper off as it
moves into the state. An additional round will be possible Sunday
afternoon and evening bringing a better chance of rain across
northern and possibly central locations. Widespread heavy rain is
not expected at this time.

As mentioned above, high temperatures are expected to feel
comfortable through the rest of this weekend with values in the
upper 70s across the north to lower 90s across the south.
Dewpoints are expected to be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 50s
to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024

The heat will return in the long term. A warm front will head
through Arkansas from the Gulf Coast to begin the period, and then a
ridge of high pressure will take over from there.

Under the ridge, largely above average temperatures are in the
forecast. This will especially be the case in central and southern
sections of the state where the ridge is most dominant. This is also
where heat headlines will likely be necessary at some point as
triple digit afternoon heat indices become common.

Farther north/east toward the periphery of the ridge, isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible at times, and
it will not be quite so hot. Even so, rainfall will not exactly be
appreciable, with amounts generally below average.

Toward the end of the period, a shortwave will approach from the
Plains. An associated cold front will try to push into the region
from the northwest, and could bring some relief next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024

VFR conds are expected to continue thru much of the fcst PD as
abundant mid and high lvl clouds persists. Sctd showers/few storms
are expected to incrs in coverage to our west thru the early mrng
hrs. Some of this activity could affect the northern and western
fcst sites after daybreak, with MVFR conds expected at times.
Looking at a lull in rainfall coverage later today.

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....46
AVIATION...44