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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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203 FXUS64 KLZK 110848 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 348 AM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday Night) Issued at 343 AM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 Persistent northwest flow aloft wl keep a somewhat unsettled wx pattern acrs much of the FA the next few days. Cont to monitor an area of sctd convection acrs central OK early this mrng, assocd with the first of several upper impulses that wl traverse the region thru Mon. There is still some differences regarding model timing and areal coverage with each round of precip. The activity to the west wl cont working eastward into western AR later this mrng. Model trends cont to support the activity diminishing later today acrs central AR. After a lull, the next round of convection wl affect the north half of the FA later tngt into Mon. Locally heavy rainfall wl rmn a concern, mainly acrs n-cntrl AR. The effects of cloud cover/rainfall coverage wl be evident regarding fcst high temps the next two days. Highs acrs north AR today wl be in the mid 70s to lower 80s, with lower and mid 80s common Mon aftn. Readings elsewhere wl be in the 80s today and top out in the lower and mid 90s Mon. Nighttime lows wl range fm the mid 60s to the lower 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 343 AM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 An upper ridge will be over the southern U.S. to begin the long term period with an upper trough over the east. The upper ridge will build into the Plains Wednesday. An upper trough enters the upper Midwest Thursday and moves east through the end of the period. Ridging also builds into the west Thursday through Saturday. A warm front will move northeast through Arkansas Tuesday and Wednesday. This will bring hot temperatures back into Arkansas. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will be in the north to begin the period. Rain chances move into central sections Friday and Saturday as a cold front moves into the state. Above normal temperatures are expected through most of the period. Dew points will climb into the mid 70s. High humidity should lead to some heat headlines during this coming week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 AM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 VFR conds are expected to continue thru much of the fcst PD as abundant mid and high lvl clouds persists. Sctd showers/few storms are expected to incrs in coverage to our west thru the early mrng hrs. Some of this activity could affect the northern and western fcst sites after daybreak, with MVFR conds expected at times. Looking at a lull in rainfall coverage later today. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 82 66 85 69 / 10 30 30 10 Camden AR 90 70 94 73 / 10 10 0 0 Harrison AR 78 66 85 68 / 50 50 60 10 Hot Springs AR 88 70 92 73 / 30 10 10 0 Little Rock AR 86 71 92 74 / 10 10 10 0 Monticello AR 89 71 95 74 / 10 10 0 0 Mount Ida AR 86 68 91 70 / 30 10 20 0 Mountain Home AR 80 66 83 68 / 40 50 60 20 Newport AR 83 67 83 69 / 10 20 20 10 Pine Bluff AR 88 69 93 72 / 10 10 0 0 Russellville AR 83 68 89 72 / 40 20 20 0 Searcy AR 84 67 88 70 / 20 20 20 0 Stuttgart AR 84 69 89 73 / 10 10 10 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....51 AVIATION...44