Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
880 FNUS72 KJAX 171023 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for WP09C RX Fire...Florida Fish and Wildlife National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 623 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on July 17. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Flow will be generally weak today, with surface winds peaking under 10 MPH this afternoon and similar magnitude for transport winds. This will result in fair dispersions this afternoon at best. Chances for showers and t`storms will begin by late this morning, peaking through the early to mid afternoon. With the southwest flow in place, convection will likely move east of the site by about 4 to 5 PM, though additional activity cannot be ruled out until sunset this evening. Showers and t`storms are expected to be numerous once again on Thursday, with a similar timing trend looking likely as well. Dispersions are expected to be similar to today on Thursday as little chance in the flow regime is expected. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........19 26 32 47 56 56 58 62 Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 50 70 70 70 60 50 Temp............88 91 92 92 92 91 91 91 RH..............70 66 62 62 62 64 64 64 Heat index (F)..100 106 106 106 106 105 105 105 20 FT wind dir..SW W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 6 6 7 6 7 20 FT wind gust.6 7 7 9 9 10 9 10 Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.7 4.4 4.0 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.7 Transp wind dir.SW W W SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.3 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 Dispersion idx..12 19 26 29 23 23 23 26 LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 .TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........64 66 58 45 39 33 31 28 32 34 30 20 Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH Chc of pcpn (%).40 30 20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 Temp............89 88 86 83 81 80 79 77 77 76 76 75 RH..............66 70 72 77 82 85 85 94 88 94 90 90 Heat index (F)..100 100 96 90 87 85 79 77 77 76 76 75 20 FT wind dir..SW SW S SW SW SW SW S S S SE SE 20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 5 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT wind gust.10 9 7 7 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S Transp wind spd.8 9 9 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 Dispersion idx..26 18 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 LVORI...........3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 .THURSDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........23 29 23 26 32 37 41 45 49 49 50 50 Weather cov..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 60 60 60 60 60 60 50 50 50 50 Temp............74 74 76 79 84 87 88 88 89 90 90 91 RH..............93 93 94 94 82 75 72 70 68 66 64 62 Heat index (F)..74 74 76 79 95 100 102 100 102 103 102 103 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.2 3 3 6 7 7 9 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.3 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.5 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 Dispersion idx..2 2 4 9 18 29 32 32 33 33 33 33 LVORI...........7 7 7 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Dubois Requested by...Mitchell Petoskey Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2418246.0/JAX .DELDT 07/17/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL mitch.petoskey@myfwc.com